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Audio · 2026-06-12 · 1h 8m · 6 moments

All-In's Best Ideas Pitch Competition: 4 Investors Present Their Top Trades Live

(0:00) Chamath explains the Best Ideas format (2:31) Suvretta Capital Management's Aaron Cowen pitches MGM Resorts (13:07) Bornite Capital's Dan Dreyfus pitches Talen Energy (27:19) EcoR1 Capital's Oleg Nodelman pitches Aktis Oncology (40:20) Multicoin Capital's Kyle Samani pitches GEODNET (54:50) The Besties recap the pitches and announce winners Thanks to our partners for making this possible! EY - EY helps private equity firms turn market insight into action, navigating complexi ✦ AI generated

timeline · colored by role

01
Claim

MGM Resorts' hidden Osaka casino license and Dubai optionality make it worth over $100 per share — more than triple the current price — and Barry Diller's $48 bid undervalues the company.

Aaron Cowen pitches MGM Resorts, arguing its hidden assets — a casino license in Osaka, Japan opening by 2030, and a Dubai property built with 300,000 sq ft reserved for potential future gambling — make the stock worth over $100, far above Barry Diller's $48 bid. He advises shareholders not to tender their shares.

transcript

Aaron Cowen: So when you take the biggest assets, which we think are worth about 60, when you take Japan, which we think is worth about 50 bucks. If Dubai happens, that's worth another 40 or $50. So we think the stock is a triple. Remember, Barry's bidding for the company, okay? He is not a strategic buyer. He is a financial buyer and he's doing it to get rich. So therefore, I think this company is now in play. I don't know how it's all going to play out, but if you own shares, don't tender them. And the risk reward is incredible right now, because I'm telling you, I think the stock could be easily worth over 100, could be worth 150.

02
Claim

The US power market faces structurally tight supply for the next 20 years driven by a new technological demand cycle, and AI demand only turbocharges that — it is not the root cause.

Dan Dreyfus explains the anatomy of power cycles: demand grows with GDP until a tech breakthrough sparks a spike, then settles back. After two decades of flat US power demand due to efficiency gains and deindustrialization, a new tech-driven spike is underway. AI accelerates it but is not the underlying cause.

transcript

Dan Dreyfus: Now, I want to say something right now that is incredibly important. We do not need AI demand to keep the power markets incredibly tight for the next 20 years. AI demand just turbocharges. That's all it does. And it creates shortages. So just remember that.

03
Data

Talen Energy trades at a massive discount to replacement cost (a Sam Zell playbook setup), and even doing nothing it generates compelling free cash flow, with massive upside if power prices rise or they sign more data center contracts.

Dan Dreyfus pitches Talen Energy using the Sam Zell playbook: buy at a discount to replacement cost when the asset will be needed. Talen trades at a $25B EV vs $45B replacement cost. Even with no new deals, it generates ~$50/share FCF (7x multiple). If power prices rise or they build new capacity, FCF could hit $70-$100+/share, implying a stock price from the current high $300s to over $1,000.

transcript

Dan Dreyfus: Talon Energy is a power producer. They have 2 gigawatts of nuclear power, and they've got 6 gigawatts of natural gas base load power. Today in the stock market, as a good speculation, you could purchase this company at a $25 billion enterprise value. The replacement cost is $45 billion. And because they've got debt, it means that the equity value, just to get to replacement cost, is more than a double from where it's trading today. And if you follow Sam's playbook, then we ultimately end this cycle at a big premium to replacement value.

04
Claim

Radiopharmaceuticals represent the next generation of cancer treatment — acting like autonomous micro-drones that precisely detonate a warhead at the tumor cell — and Aktis Oncology's mini-protein platform could be worth $10 billion if even one program reaches market.

Oleg Nodelman pitches Aktis Oncology, a radiopharmaceutical company using mini-proteins to deliver radioactive payloads precisely to cancer cells. The platform has a strong moat (radioisotope supply is US-sourced and China can't easily replicate it), known validated targets (Nectin-4, B7H3), and de-risking via imaging verification. He values it at ~$10B/$200 per share if one program succeeds — a 10x from current valuation.

transcript

Oleg Nodelman: Modern day radiopharmaceuticals. Like a swarm of micro drones, small enough to navigate the bloodstream and find their target by molecular recognition, then detonate a precisely sized warhead with a blast radius of 100 microns or the diameter of a single cell. An autonomous assassination with the force of a bunker buster and minimum collateral damage. The company I'm going to tell you about today is Actus Oncology. The ticker is AKTS. The company has a billion dollar market cap, a $500 million enterprise value, and a stockpile of cash which should last them over three years. Long past critical milestones that are coming next year. For earlier stage opportunities like this, we like to triangulate. We think Actis could be worth $10 billion or $200 per share if even one of their programs makes it to market. And in this case, you have a lot of outs.

05
Fact

Radiopharmaceuticals have a structural moat because radioisotopes are off-limits to Chinese replication — the US actinium supply comes from legacy nuclear weapons waste that China never produced, making generics and biosimilar competition nearly impossible.

When asked why radioisotopes are off limits to China, Oleg explains that Aktis uses actinium derived from radium-233, a waste product of US nuclear weapons programs from the 1950s-60s. China's nuclear program used enriched uranium and plutonium, so they lack this supply chain, making replication for the US market extremely difficult — a genuine moat in biotech.

transcript

Oleg Nodelman: In this particular case, Actis's radioisotope payload is actinium. And actinium is manufactured from radium-233, which was used in our own nuclear programs in the US in the 50s and 60s. So it's a waste product from there. So actinium is not even available in other countries like China because they had a completely different... Their own program was completely different with enriched uranium and plutonium.

06
Prediction

GLP-1 drugs are already one of the most powerful longevity interventions available, because they effectively deliver caloric restriction — the only intervention proven in data to extend lifespan — at scale.

When asked about extending lifespan past 100, Oleg argues that GLP-1/obesity drugs are the best longevity drug we already have. Caloric restriction is the only intervention proven to extend lifespan in actual data, and these drugs achieve precisely that pharmacologically. He takes the over on lifespans reaching 125-150 within the room's lifetimes.

transcript

Oleg Nodelman: I would take the over on that. In no small part because we already have one of the best longevity drugs out there and folks don't even realize it in the GLP ones and the obesity drugs. So one of the only things that's ever been shown in actual data to extend life is caloric restriction. And that's literally what all the obesity drugs do. So I'm sure half the people in this room are on one of them. And that's just the beginning because it's trained people that you can inject yourself with something and have healthy living through pharmaceuticals. So I think that's only going to continue.

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