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ClaimVideo · 17:25 — 18:15

While Michael Burry's prediction of a 1987-style crash is unrealistic, the modern market structure and speed of information flow make sudden air pocket events of 7-12% single-day declines more probable than in the past.

One host agrees with Burry's general sentiment about swift market downturns but rejects the specific 1987 comparison, arguing that algorithmic trading and information speed create higher probability of severe single-day drops. ✦ AI generated

Ben Carlson · The Compound · 2026-08-12 · original ↗

starts at this moment · 17:25

I do think that the way the market is structured now and with the speed at which things move, a an air pocket situation is way a much higher probability event than it was in the past. And that to me, that's like a down seven, down eight, down 10, or down 12% day if something really bad happens.

verbatim transcript · starts at 17:25

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17:05>> I don't remember if I put this in my book or not, but I'm 98% sure that I'm not making this up. I read this somewhere. He used uh He used a chart from 1929 and overlaid it with what was happening in 1987. >> Which is kind of hilarious cuz people have been saying that for the last 15 years. >> type of thing that we literally laugh

17:21at. >> Um >> Yes. >> I suppose it worked for him that one time. >> Right. Okay. So, here's here's where I'm going to say like I kind of agree with Michael Burry in some ways. I don't think we're going to see a 1987 crash, and I think trying to predict one of those is just absolutely ridiculous. But, I do think that the way the market is structured now and with the speed at

17:45which things move, a an air pocket situation is way a much higher probability event than it was in the past. And that to me, that's like a down seven, down eight, down 10, or down 12% day if something really bad happens. >> We had We had that a million times >> the pandemic. And also during liberation day. Didn't we have We had 10% down days, I believe, in the

18:09>> had We had back-to-back 5% down days. But, I'm just saying that type of like that's the that's where I actually agree with him is that when this thing does top out, it I'm guessing it will be swift. And it will be fast. And that's the part that I agree with him. Not that it's going to be a 1987 route. >> I don't know that I agree with you. It

18:27That could happen. But, why would you say that's going to happen? Because I think there needs to be an event >> saying it's going I'm I'm saying it's a higher probability event now than it was in the past because of the speed at which the market re-prices and the speed at which information moves today. >> Could be. Um >> I mean, listen, this guy he he keeps trying to

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