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PredictionVideo · 46:34 — 53:18

Amazon is the single best-positioned company in the world to benefit from the AI revolution — through its infrastructure, advertising, logistics, and Anthropic stake — and the market is dramatically underestimating this.

Chris explains why Amazon is his highest-conviction bet ever at 50% of his portfolio: it sits at the center of AI infrastructure as a chip and cloud company, benefits from AI-driven advertising efficiency, and stands to gain massively from productivity increases in logistics. ✦ AI generated

Chris · My First Million · 2026-07-29 · original ↗

starts at this moment · 46:34

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What are the things you have most high conviction in right now?

I just think it's the company that is best positioned in the world to benefit from the upcoming AI efficiency wave, which is once we actually start to see meaningful productivity jumps from the AI age. Uh, there's no company in the world that's going to benefit more from that than Amazon. I also think they are the nucleus of AI infrastructure. They are a chip company, right? Their tranium, their chips alone, their tranium AI chips are generating like $50 billion of revenue this next year. They are one of the largest infrastructure data center companies in the entire world. And their AWS platform and everything that they've constructed in cloud computing over the past 15 plus years sits at the center of this architecture infrastructure for AI. On top of that, Amazon is the third largest digital advertising company in the world. So as AI makes advertising meaningfully more efficient and targeted and effective, Amazon is at the center of that wave. They are making the biggest capex investment of any company in the world by a big margin in AI. And the world is still unsure about how this is going to play out. I'm not unsure. I'm willing to bet it all.

verbatim transcript · starts at 46:34

Transcript · around this moment

46:34>> Um my highest conviction trade I'm like a broken record on this. It sounds so weird because it's not a small company. It's Amazon, guys. Like I I have more money in Amazon. This the most concentrated position I've had in a really long time. I always say the most concentrated position I've ever taken was Nintendo when they came out with the Wii because I was at the E3 conference

46:58and actually saw this is like a Buffett story, right? I actually saw the line of people interacting with the Nintendo Wii for the first time. I don't know if you remember that gamechanging platform and nobody on Wall Street believed it. Everyone on Wall Street was so hyperfocused on the Xbox coming out and the PlayStation coming out, nobody thought the Wii was going to be a big deal. I was there. I saw it in real

47:21life. I had a 100% of my portfolio invested in a Nintendo ADR, which is a tracking stock that tracks the Japanese ticker of Nintendo. And I had 100% of my portfolio, I think, for a full year in Nintendo until Wall Street finally realized how big of a deal that was. Uh, but Amazon, I I I just think it's the company that is best positioned in the world to

47:47benefit from the upcoming AI efficiency wave, which is once we actually start to see meaningful productivity jumps from the AI age. Uh, there's no company in the world that's going to benefit more from that than Amazon. I also think they are the nucleus of AI infrastructure. So, so sorry. What's the observation you made here? I I like what I is this not from the Tik Tok comments in this

48:15situation? Is this >> No, this is this is this is a kind of a global cultural shift and it's it's a big observation I've had for 3 years which is based in part I don't know if you guys ever read Nasim Taleb's book black swan >> uh but black swan theory essentially says that our minds are not capable of fully recognizing and appreciating anomalies in the market or the world

48:47that haven't happened before. I had this thesis in early days AI that AI wouldn't just be the next internet. It's not just going to be the next mobile phone or smartphone, but that it would be meaningfully larger than anything we've experienced in our lifetime. And as a result of that, we would see the biggest trades of our life happen um as a direct result of AI. And even when

49:18the information was right in front of us, the market would not believe it until it actually shows up in the numbers because there's no precedent for what we're seeing in AI. There's nothing that has ever happened in our lifetime before AI that we can compare to AI. Now I might regret saying this in 10 years but I don't think so. I think the concept of intelligence becoming

49:47infinite and free to the world is going to be the biggest change we've ever seen in humanity. So the reason why Amazon went down and has not really gone up as a company meaningfully over you know recently right is because they have made such an aggressive investment in AI $200 billion now it's like 200 it's more than 200 billion this last year uh capex investment in AI in a sector that nobody

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