Prediction◆Article
AI systems are expanding their economically relevant capabilities faster than humans are expanding their comparative advantages, so person-light, AI-heavy organizations will increasingly out-compete unaugmented humans.
Citing the Remote Labor Index's jump from 2.5% to 16.1% success in nine months, Jack Clark argues AI capability growth is outpacing human adaptation, predicting AI-heavy, person-light organizations will take over parts of the economy. ✦ AI generated
Jack Clark · Import AI · 2026-07-06 · original ↗
I'm betting the other side: AI systems are expanding their economically relevant capabilities faster than humans are expanding their comparative advantages relative to AI systems. Tracking the rate of capability improvement on tests like RLI will help us all judge this for ourselves.
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- ·AI economically relevant capabilities grow faster than human comparative advantage
- ·Remote Labor Index success jumped 2.5% to 16.1% in nine months
- ·Clark: track capability tests like RLI to judge this claim
- ·Person-light, AI-heavy organizations will increasingly out-compete humans
- ·These orgs may take over growing parts of the economy
- ·Human adaptation speed is the key bottleneck, not AI progress
Around this claim
Evidence · 2
AI systems are expanding their economically relevant capabilities faster than humans are expanding their comparative advantage relative to AI, meaning the economy is likely headed toward person-light or person-nil, AI-heavy organizations outcompeting unaugmented humans rather than staying fundamentally the same.Jack Clark (Import AI) · Import AI · conf 90%The frontier of AI performance on real-world freelance work automation has more than quadrupled in under eight months, with Fable 5 reaching 16.1% success versus lower scores from GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.8.CAIS/Scale Labs researchers · Import AI · conf 60%