PredictionArticle
To slow or pause powerful AI development we need regimes for sharing information transparently from companies, plus tools for verifying that shared information and firms' slowdown actions are legitimate, paralleling nuclear arms control.
If we hope to slow or pause AI development, we need transparent information-sharing regimes from companies and verification tools, in parallel with how nuclear arms control historically worked. ✦ AI generated
Jack Clark · Import AI · 2026-08-10 · original ↗
If we have any hope of being able to slow or pause the development of powerful intelligence systems then, as this paper lays out, we're going to need regimes for sharing information transparently from companies about the state of their AI development, as well as tools for verifying that the information being shared from firms as well as their actions with regard to slowdown are legitimate and reliable. In this, there are many parallels with how arms control has historically worked in the context of nuclear weapons.
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Evidence · 2
IFP has published 23 actionable 'low-regret' policy recommendations across 7 categories to help policymakers begin addressing the risks of further automating AI R&D, giving countries more options to manage increasingly powerful AI systems.Jack Clark · Import AI · conf 70%The world's leading AI companies ask the US government to support an international effort to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development, because capability growth may outrun our ability to control resulting systems.Statement signatories (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Thinking Machines, Meta, SSI) · Import AI · conf 65%
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provides context → The world is currently like driving a car with only an accelerator pedal and no brake or telemetry, but proposals like IFP's build out the proverbial pedals and sensing systems so we can change course or slow down during a crisis.Jack Clark · Import AIrebuts → Slowing down AI is not possible — the US cannot afford to fall behind because the game theory of the US-China AI race mirrors the nuclear arms race, where asymmetric power is unacceptable and a balance must be reached through competition, not restraint.Friedberg · All-In Podcast