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The US is in one of the greatest bull markets of all time, comparable to the 1980s and 1990s.

Ben presents data showing the 2020s S&P 500 annual returns of 15.7% rivaling the 1980s and 1990s, with the total stock market index up 1500% since 2009. The bull market has broadened beyond just large-cap tech to include international, midcap, smallcap, and emerging markets. ✦ AI generated

Ben · The Compound · 2026-08-19 · original ↗

starts at this moment · 0:53

2010's S&P 500 was up 13.4% per year annual basis. Not bad. handful of like minor bare markets, right? We had a few like 19% in change ones. 2020s 15.7% per year. I think the 80s was like 17 and the '90s was 18, something like that, maybe flip-flops. So, a little higher from the lows in 2009, the S&P 500 is up almost 1500% or sorry, this is the Vanguard total stock market index... VTI is up almost 1500% in total. 17% annualized return since the bottom in 2009, which is when I think the bull market started... the last 24 months or so, the bull market has entered a totally new territory. So, we in the last week have hit new all-time highs in the S&P, the equal weight, Europe, uh, midcaps, small caps, emerging markets are basically there. Valuations are falling, profit margins are rising. This is the craziest one to me. Tech stocks are up 65% since January 2025. And I pulled this duality research chart. In that time the forward PE again that's this sector is up 65%. In that time the forward PE has gone from 29 to 22 while the stocks have risen almost 70%.

verbatim transcript · starts at 0:53

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0:53trial and get 20% off your initial Y Charts professional subscription. New customers only. >> Welcome to Animal Spirits [music] with Michael and Ben. Michael, I'm ready to call it. This is officially one of the greatest bull markets of all time. [music] We're there. We're We're entering 1980s, 1990s territory. Allow me to make my case in front of the jury here. Okay. [music] 2010's S&P 500 was up 13.4% per

1:24year annual basis. Not bad. handful of like minor bare markets, right? We had a few like 19% in change ones. 2020s 15.7% per year. I think the 80s was like 17 and the '90s was 18, something like that, maybe flip-flops. So, a little higher from the lows in 2009, the S&P 500 is up almost 1500% or sorry, this is the Vanguard total stock market index. Do you see now

1:48that they have the Vanguard Morning Star total stock market index? That's a new thing. >> Oh, that is interesting. Okay. Yeah, Morning Star branded it. VTI is up almost 1500% in total. 17% annualized return since the bottom in 2009, which is when I think the bull market started. Some people disagree with me. I don't care. That's when it started. Uh this year, and I think the the bull market,

2:12this has been a caveed bull market the entire way. It's only the S&P. Nowhere else is nothing else is keeping up. Uh it's just concentration. It's all mag 7 blah blah blah. Well, the last 24 months or so, the bull market has entered a totally new territory. So, we in the last week have hit new all-time highs in the S&P, the equal weight, Europe, uh, midcaps, small caps, emerging markets

2:34are basically there. Valuations are falling, profit margins are rising. This is the craziest one to me. Tech stocks are up 65% since January 2025. And I pulled this duality research chart. In that time the forward PE again that's this sector is up 65%. In that time the forward PE has gone from 29 to 22 while the stocks have risen almost 70%. This is like we're a we're a stones

3:04throw away from this being one of the great bull markets ever. Thoughts? Am I right? Am I wrong? >> So many thoughts. Ben, that was that was a rushing nesting egg doll of arguments. A lot to unpack there. Nailed it. An [clears throat] egg doll. Yeah. [laughter] >> Is that what it's called? Oh, a nesting doll. I said egg doll last week. Remember? >> All right. First of all, let me just

3:26nitpick a little bit. >> I don't think the I don't think the bottom of a disgusting bare market is the beginning of a bull market. >> A lot of people nitpick with that. I disagree. Keep going. >> Okay, fine. Whatever. We can move on for now. Uh we've been in one of the greatest bull markets of all time, right? I I know you you obviously you know that we didn't

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