Founders should follow their own direct experience and unique knowledge rather than chasing what's hot or what investors say is cool.
Garry Tan reflects on his early career mistake of leaving web programming for mobile at Microsoft instead of staying with what he knew and loved, driven by chasing trends rather than first principles. ✦ AI generated
Garry Tan · a16z Podcast · 2026-08-12 · original ↗
starts at this moment · 2:25
“Because it felt like that was the smart thing to do.”
I think like that's that's embedded in this idea that like you should just be earnest and then you shouldn't follow what the crowd is saying, right? Like at that moment people said the web was dead, but that was sort of the perfect time to work on web and social and things like that. Um and you know, I didn't do it. I I ran off and said like 'Oh, well, the next hot thing will be mobile.' So I wanted to work at Windows Mobile, which was true, but um why I give up like the thing that could have been the next thing. The classic question I'm sure you get that, you know, all investors get all the time is, 'What's hot and what should I work on?' And that's the wrong question to ask. Like the right question is like, 'What are you interested in? What do you know uniquely?'
verbatim transcript · starts at 2:25
2:24>> Yeah, it was smart and you know, I mean this is true now. Um you know, in in front of all these people at Startup School, uh you know, I sort of started this don't LARP >> Right. >> um meme. >> I saw that. >> Uh but I think like that's that's embedded in this idea that like you should just be earnest >> Yeah. >> and then you shouldn't follow what the
2:45crowd is saying, right? Like at that moment people said the web was dead, but that was sort of the perfect time to work on web and social and things like that. Um and you know, I didn't do it. I I ran off and said like "Oh, well, the next hot thing will be mobile." So I wanted to work at Windows Mobile, which was true, but um why I
3:06give up like the thing that could have been the next thing. >> What I love about what you're saying though is often when we hear earnest, we think naive, but actually what it sounds like you're saying is there's like earnestness is a sort of result of maturity and courage. >> Courage is actually I think the right thing. >> Yes. >> Like if you know something that's sort
3:25of if someone just like comes and contradicts you or even if like a blog post or like someone on Twitter uh contradicts you, >> Yeah. >> you're like, well, I I don't I don't agree with that because I believe my own direct experience. >> Yes. >> I know that I'm not a time traveler because if I was a time traveler, I would have I would have sent a message
3:45back to myself and said, "Just stay on working on web stuff." Like you literally have um 5 years of experience on top of everyone else. Like you could do an end run around everyone. Like you could have built like any kind of social software. >> Yes. >> But instead I was, um, you know, I was 22. So I was like being whipped around by, uh, whatever I could read in The
4:06Wall Street Journal. And, you know, I the the classic question I'm sure you get that, you know, all investors get all the time is, "What's hot and what should I work on?" >> Right. >> And that's the wrong question to ask. Like the right question is like, "What are you interested in? What do you know uniquely?" And so I was that's like, you know, one of a great many mistakes I
4:28made in my career. I feel like I'm a little bit, uh, doomed to be the first principle storyteller of, uh, all the mistakes that I made >> Well, I think that it's it's very inspiring for founders to hear your own journey and your own mistakes. And then not feel so bad about the ones that we've all made along the way. >> I mean, maybe talk about the culture of
4:48Silicon Valley today. You know, on one hand maybe it was despondent 20 years ago. It's crazy to think that was just 23 years ago that you're talking about. Um, now you think we would all be incredibly elated, yet there's this undercurrent. Maybe it's the LARPing thing that you mentioned. You know, it's being outside of the light cone, the permanent underclass. Where does that come from? Do you think there's any
- ·不要追随人群或投资者认为热门的方向
- ·在众人说Web已死时,恰恰是深耕的最佳时机
- ·正确的问题不是'什么热门',而是'你对什么感兴趣'
- ·应坚持你知道的、独特的领域
- ·离开擅长的Web编程,转向热门的移动领域
- ·因此错失了Web和社会化的下一个浪潮
- ·投资者常问'什么该做',这是错误的问题
- ·被趋势误导,放弃了本应成为'下一个大事'的领域
- ·核心:你对什么真正感兴趣?
- ·在哪个领域你拥有独特的知识或视角?
- ·保持真诚,抵制外界噪音
- ·第一性原理思考胜过跟风