The mechanism of ordering a product can matter more than the product itself — small psychological bottlenecks can doom a business, and fixing them (like offering a postal option alongside phone ordering) can double response rates in ways that economic logic cannot explain.
Rory describes a randomized test for British Telecom offering call-diverting services: postal-only got 5%, phone-only got 2%, but offering the choice of either produced 7% — the sum exceeded the parts. This taught him that brilliant businesses fail because they never unblock a psychological bottleneck, and that direct response advertising discovered behavioral economics decades before the academics. ✦ AI generated
Rory Sutherland · My First Million · 2026-07-27 · original ↗
starts at this moment · 36:49
“Can I ask you a question on how you got good at this stuff? Because I know that you're a thought leader when it comes to this stuff, but you were a practitioner for years and I think you're a direct response copywriter.”
I'll give you an example. This is it's something like 1991, 1992, and I'm working on direct response advertising for the phone company. And we simply um were offering people the chance to pay a couple of pounds a month extra to receive what what we call star services I think in the United States network services which is you could have call diversion you could have call waiting on your phone and you could have something else wake up call or something like that and and if you've paid a certain amount monthly these facilities were added to your home phone line and we wrote people letters and it said either send back the pre-lasered coupon below in the in the postage paid envelope or call this number and quote this code. We gave them a choice of post or phone. And we had a slightly bonkers client who didn't want to offer the postal response. I don't know why. I have no idea why to this day. Okay. And so we said, well, let's test it. um let let's not just get rid of a coupon response because that's dangerous because you know if you know if you don't test this rigorously you could end up effectively damaging your business quite significantly on a whim. And so we tested three kinds of letters, 50,000 people each, randomized, completely randomized selection as with the newspapers. And one lot got postal only, one lot got phone only, and one lot as before got the choice of phone or post. Post only 5% response rate. Phone only 2% response rate. When you offer people a choice, it was just it was 7%. not quite but almost nearly I think the sum total of the of the two independent response rates that that may not surprise strike you as all that weird but to an economist this would be completely baffling because it would suggest that the more important factor affecting whether you bought the product was not what the product was or how much it cost but how you were able to actually order it. And from that moment on I remember thinking okay this is extraordinary because every now and then there are almost certainly brilliant businesses which are failing because they've failed to unblock some sort of psychological bottleneck. At this case, the psychological bottleneck might have been that, you know, all you know, people just hated using the phone to order something. And you could have rationally spent millions and millions and millions of pounds trying to improve the product or to spend ages demonstrating what a great product it was. And yet, if you fail at one psychological hurdle, you can doom yourself.
verbatim transcript · starts at 36:49
36:29entrepreneurial business over the established business because they can explore a much larger solution space. Hey, can I ask you a question on how you got good at this stuff? Because I know that you're a thought leader when it comes to this stuff, but you were a practitioner for years and I think you're a direct response copywriter. >> Well, well, the story is even better. I think you were not in copywriting, got
36:49fired and came back into the copyrightiting department and went to the top, which is probably a lesson in fit and knowing your strengths and your nature rather than uh just thinking I'm good or bad. Now I have to admit it wasn't an accident in that from about week three working as a graduate trainee in Oglev May the direct which was the direct response wing of Ogulvie David
37:12Oglev was a massive advocate of direct response advertising because he believed that you learned what works >> and he was absolutely right. >> Really quick define direct response to people who don't understand it. Okay. So, historically and back in 1988 when I started work when there was there was an internet technically but there was no web it typically meant direct mail and couponed press advertisements or more or
37:40later advertisements with a coupon or a phone number. But it was an advertisement which invited the consumer, buyer, customer, interested party to respond directly to an identifiable advertisement. >> So for example, like here's one. It's like an ad for something and and there'll be a letter and at the end there's like a coupon and it says fill this out and tell us you want to buy this vacuum.
38:04>> And the coupon would have a dotted line around it with a pair of scissors to encourage people to cut it out or indeed to rip it out and put it in their pocket. What would happen is on that coupon there would also be a code. Uh you'd be asked to quote the code if you telephoned which related both to the creative um execution and the media
38:26placement of the ad. Now bear in mind in I think certainly in the 1920s possibly in the 19th century long before medicine and science had grasped that there was such a thing as a randomized control trial. The advertising industry had started testing this kind of thing ages ago. Direct response copywriters would, for example, test headlines by running small classified advertisements at very low cost, each with a different little
38:58headline in a, you know, in an ad the size of a couple of postage stamps. And they would they would learn which one got more responses. and uh they would therefore when it came to doing more expensive large full page advertisements they'd use the headline that had worked in miniature. But what had happened and I assume this was at the behest of advertisers but I don't know for sure is
39:23that newspapers in the United States and the United Kingdom when they produced newspapers they were printed on two or sometimes four parallel presses just to produce the number of newspapers you needed. Now, when these newspapers came off the presses, they were interled. So, it wasn't all the newspapers from from printing press A went to North Boston and all the all the newspapers from printing press B went to South