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PredictionVideo · 9:04 — 10:34

SpaceX will trade under $100 per share.

Michael predicts SpaceX shares will fall below $100 due to the massive lockup expiry and lack of valuation support. ✦ AI generated

Michael · The Compound · 2026-07-20 · original ↗

starts at this moment · 9:04

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What do you think happens?

I think if you want to buy the stock, you're going to get an opportunity under $100 a share. ... I just can't shake this feeling that at a certain point we're going to get an opportunity under 100. Now, that may be because too much stock hits the market at once or the market could turn.

verbatim transcript · starts at 9:04

Transcript · around this moment

8:47And that's and and then Elon shares are not involved in this. That's a whole separate conversation that we're not going to have today. But then he's got like >> well he has 42% then he's not selling >> and he's not selling with you. >> Well, let me ask you this, Mr. Opinion. What do you think happens? >> I think I think if you uh want to buy

9:06the stock, you're going to get an opportunity under $100 a share. >> Where' it close today? >> I think it had a it went I think it went up today. >> Yeah, little bit. >> It fell it fell almost every day. >> 123 >> over the last two weeks. >> Yeah, I think I think it'll go to 100 >> today. But so but can you just can you

9:24look at the intraday bounce? >> That's well they sold it, >> right? Like it it it hit 129 and a half today and then immediately another wave of selling came in and crushed it into the close back to back down to 12. >> Given that there's only I don't know 25 days, let's let me just do a 30 minute and get some more candles on here. And

9:46yeah, there's no evidence of a bottom. I mean none at all. So, I look I I think this company is really exciting and really interesting and I'm not like a knee-jerk. I hate Elon per like I I'm not I don't want people to get the wrong idea. I just can't shake this feeling that at a certain point we're going to get an opportunity under 100. Now, that may be

10:08because too much stock hits the market at once or the market could turn. We could have in a bare market this isn't going to hold up. The amount of supply is unbelievable. >> You know what? >> So, so that's that's my call. My call is you will get you will get a chance under 100. And maybe I'm wrong, but that's >> SpaceX trade under 100. I wonder if

10:29there's like if uh one of the sites has this. So, I would guess I would guess >> I bet you it does. >> Yeah, I'm going to look now. I would guess um 65 cents. Like a pretty heavy favorite to to trade under $100. Uh, will SpaceX trade under 100? >> Well, within what period of time? Like by by year >> over the next six months? SpaceX

10:50prediction markets of space forecast? Let's see what we got. Um, there's too many things here. Ed, somebody in the chat, help us out. Anyway, I think it's Yeah, I think it'll get to 100. >> The thing is, unlike a lot of IPOs, especially large IPOs, like there's a valuation framework to fall back on. So, at 100, where is it? 123. >> Yeah. Like in a normal situation, a an

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