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Open-weights and open-source AI have become a real, decisive force — Jensen's first-ever post proves Nvidia is now fully behind them — and Nvidia, despite its dominance, is still a component manufacturer that must dance in both the frontier and open halls even though open models bypass CUDA, are cheaper, carry lower margins, and will bypass Nvidia itself.

Jason reads Jensen Huang's first-ever X post as proof that open-weights/open-source AI has left the stable for real. Nvidia is still a component manufacturer and now has to serve both the frontier and open markets at once, even though open models bypass CUDA, are cheaper, and will bypass Nvidia itself. ✦ AI generated

Jason · 20VC · 2026-07-30 · original ↗

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How did we analyze Jensen's first post and what it means for the open versus closed debate?

putting that aside if almost half of open router's traffic is to open source openweight models it's left the stable so as wildly successful as he's got to do a dance right this is a constant dance and I've sold components in my career it's a dance you're trying to make everybody happy. Everyone wants Everyone wants price cuts from the component manufacturer and they want exclusivity. You can't do it. He's got to go in both dance halls now, right? He's got to go frontier and open and open is dangerous. Open doesn't need CUDA. Open is cheaper and it's lower margins. Open will bypass him, but uh he's got to he's got that's his job. Like it's not that as as incredible as Nvidia is, it's still a component manufacturer. It's got the a lot of lot of a lot of stresses and uh and so it just it's just the next level. It's if we didn't know last week if this open weights open source stuff was really real and and outside of X you could debate how important it is. It's clear now. It's clear now. Nvidia is all behind it, right? First tweet in first tweet in since the 1900s. Like it's pretty clear.

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2:282025 world where there's only where they can charge what the maximum to just a couple customers but that's not the world today. they have competition from their own c top customers right and we will see over the next 6 to 12 months how big a deal open weights and open source are I have a lot of thoughts I don't think Kimmy 3 for me is any better

2:46I don't see any cost advantages but putting that aside if almost half of open router's traffic is to open source openweight models it's left the stable so as wildly successful as he's got to do a dance right this is a constant dance and I've sold components in my career it's a dance you're trying to make everybody happy. Everyone wants Everyone wants price cuts from the component manufacturer and they want

3:09exclusivity. You can't do it. He's got to go in both dance halls now, right? He's got to go frontier and open and open is dangerous. Open doesn't need CUDA. Open is cheaper and it's lower margins. Open will bypass him, but uh he's got to he's got that's his job. Like it's not that as as incredible as Nvidia is, it's still a component manufacturer. [laughter] It's got the a lot of lot of a lot of

3:31stresses and uh and so it just it's just the next level. It's if we didn't know last week if this open weights open source stuff was really real and and outside of X you could debate how important it is. It's clear now. It's clear now. Nvidia is all behind it, right? First tweet in first tweet in in since the 1900s. Like it's pretty clear. >> You're right, Jason. The open open stuff

3:55is real. And while in public um anthropic are saying we don't want to ban open weight the truth is the combination of saying we don't want to sell stuff to China chips to China we can argue both sides of that actually second we want to really punish people for distillation right and then the third point they made is we want some kind of regulatory process to approve models right that's

4:22the recommended thing from the letter today and there's no doubt in my mind that the third one in particular, can you imagine a regulatory process for approving models that ultimately approves all those Chinese open source models? It is a subtle form of regulatory capture. Yeah, sounds reasonable on the surface, but the likely result of it would be dramatically restricted competition, especially from the open open way Chinese models. So, yeah, kind of fast

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