China has three potential strategies for Taiwan — economic quarantine, full-scale invasion, or incremental seizure of small offshore islands — and the US must be prepared for all three while its current deterrence is weakened.

24:34a 2016 case. And if we don't stand up there, I don't before you get to Taiwan. >> So it sounds like you or think we should be projecting some force there or putting some troops there or some ships there with our allies and we have to rebuild those bridges. >> We already have we already have troops there and we already have resources. We need to double them up and give

24:53Philippines the confidence especially given that President Marcos is taking massive risks. Second, in Taiwan, there are three strategies. One idea is a quarantine, two is invasion, and three, off of the ch mainland China's coast are three islands associated with Taiwan. They got a rock, a butterfly, and a tree, and a fisherman. That's it. Now, there's three strategies. One is the economic quarantine that just suffocates Taiwan. One is an invasion

25:27that tries to end this in 96 hours. And the other one is they take over those three islands and look at the world and say, "You're going to start a war over this." And they do their incremental strategy. And if you look at China and their history, they have done all three of those historically with different countries. We have to be prepared for all three. one, they want a

25:5196-hour, not a Ukraine example. We have to say no, there's going to be 96 days and have the resources, the capacity to say this isn't going to be one and done quick. Two, as it relates to quarantine, we have to be able to show both through our resources, which is why the Philippines and the Okanana Islands a quarantine can't work both air, naval, otherwise you can't pull it off.

26:16And then third is the little islands off of Japan, off of China. How we have to project where before etc. Because remember there's a security piece and there's a deterrence piece and we need to be our deterrence piece is very weakened right now. >> I want to get your opinion also on Japan remilitarizing since you spent some time there and their role in this because that seems to be an ally that's

26:40critically important as well as South Korea. So let's go to Iran right after we sort of sum up what's happening with those two allies in in your estimation how we should be courting them. Obviously we just backs stop the yen uh and we have a pretty solid relationship with Japan. >> Look Japan is the long pole of America's Indopacific policy. You look at the quad India Australia