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Banning open models now while closed models race 10-100X ahead in the hands of one or two companies creates a bigger long-term risk than allowing open Mythos-class models to exist.
Despite acknowledging the fear of an openly accessible frontier-class model, the author argues that suppressing open models while closed labs monopolize massive capability gains would create a worse outcome. ✦ AI generated
Nathan Lambert · Interconnects · 2026-06-22 · original ↗
I totally see why it is scary to imagine an openly accessible Mythos class model, but if open models get banned now and only closed models get 10 or 100X better in 2 years in the hands of one or two companies, I think we will have bigger problems on our hands.
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- ·Banning open models won't stop closed labs advancing
- ·Closed models could get 10-100X more capable in 2 years
- ·That power would concentrate in one or two companies
- ·Concentration risk outweighs fears of open Mythos-class models
- ·Estimates range from 10X to 100X improvement
- ·Gains would sit with just one or two labs
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